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Gold is Good for Jewelry, not in Your Portfolio, says Mark Matson

BY BERNARD CONDON

AP Business Writer

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In this Feb. 8, 2012 photo, specialist Michael O'Mara, right, works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. Stock markets fell Friday, Feb. 10, 2012, after Greece's crucial international bailout was put on hold by its partners in the 17-nation eurozone, a day after it seemed that the country's tortuous journey to pacifying its creditors had reached a conclusion.<br />
Richard Drew
In this Feb. 8, 2012 photo, specialist Michael O’Mara, right, works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange. Stock markets fell Friday, Feb. 10, 2012, after Greece’s crucial international bailout was put on hold by its partners in the 17-nation eurozone, a day after it seemed that the country’s tortuous journey to pacifying its creditors had reached a conclusion.
NEW YORK – Stocks had their worst day of the year Friday after Greece hit a roadblock on its way to a critical bailout.

The Dow Jones industrial average closed down 89.23 points, or 0.7 percent, at 12,801.23. The broader Standard & Poor’s 500 finished down 9.31 points to 1,342.64. It was the first losing week for S&P this year.

Just a day earlier, investors had bought stocks after Greek Prime Minister Lucas Papademos and the heads of the three parties backing his government agreed to slash wages, lay off civil service workers and cut government spending.

That was seen as a step toward Greece’s securing a euro130 billion international bailout that it must have to avoid defaulting on its debt next month and sending a shock through the world financial system.

On Friday, European finance ministers insisted Greece agree to deeper cuts in wages and spending. More than 15,000 people swarmed the streets of Athens, some hurling paving stones at police. Four cabinet ministers have resigned over the cuts.

“The economy in Greece is deteriorating faster than anticipated, and the austerity measures aren’t particularly popular,” said Mark Luschini, chief investment analyst at Janney Montgomery Scott. “There could be a disorderly default.”

The decline in U.S. stocks was broad, with all 10 industry categories in the S&P 500 down. Materials stocks fell the most, down 1.8 percent. Energy and financial stocks both fell more than 1 percent.

The Nasdaq composite closed down 23.35 points at 2,903.88.

Since the start of the year, stocks have been generally rising on small daily gains because of good economic news and a sense that the worst of the debt crisis in Europe might be over. The Dow has risen 4.8 percent in 2012 and seemed poised earlier this week to break 13,000 for the first time since 2008.

At its low point Friday, the Dow was down 145 points. Its largest intraday loss so far this year was 159 points, on Jan. 13, but the Dow has not closed down more than 100 points since Dec. 28.

Aluminum producer Alcoa dropped 3.3 percent, the biggest fall among the 30 stocks in the Dow.

The euro, which had risen Thursday to its highest level against the dollar in two months, fell by a penny and was trading at just under $1.32. U.S. Treasury yields fell, a sign that investors were buying bonds as a safer investment than stocks.

The price of gold fell $16, or nearly 1 percent, to settle at $1,725 an ounce. Gold usually rises when stocks fall because it’s seen as a safe place to park money when markets are volatile, but that relationship has broken down recently. Many investors now worry that gold is too expensive after a 26 percent surge over the past year.

“People are speculating, and so the drop could get bigger,” said Mark Matson, CEO of Matson Money, which manages more $3 billion in assets. “Gold is good for jewelry, not in your portfolio.”

In other commodity news, the price of oil fell $1.17 to $98.67 a barrel.

Among stocks making big moves:

- LinkedIn rose 18 percent. The online networking company announced that fourth- quarter earnings had soared and revenue doubled.

- Jeans maker True Religion Apparel plunged 28 percent. The company reported earnings that were far below what analysts were expecting. Analysts slashed their ratings on the stock, citing weak sales and big markdowns.

- NYSE Euronext, parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, rose 4.5 percent, best among stocks in the S&P 500. It beat Wall Street estimates for revenue and profit. CEO Duncan Niederauer said the company would focus on growth and perhaps small acquisitions after a failed attempt to merge with a German exchange company.

- Telecom gear maker Alcatel-Lucent rose 12 percent after announcing it made its first annual profit in 2011 after years of losses.

- First Solar, a solar panel maker, fell 10 percent. The company said a construction delay is threatening to undo the sale of a large solar project to power producer Exelon Corp.

Stocks were lower in much of Europe. The benchmark stock index in Athens fell 3.2 percent. Germany’s DAX was down 1.4 percent. The CAC-40 in France was down 1.5 percent.

On the New York Stock Exchange, three stocks fell for every one that rose. Volume was light with just 3.5 billion shares trading hands.

 

We are Investor Coaches that work with Mark Matson. Call our office for more information or to register for our next educational seminar. 719-434-3939. We are here for you!

In this video, Mark Matson, on FOX Business Network, says that an automatic increase in the minimum wage will hurt, not help, poor people.

Through global investing, Colorado residents Jeff Mathies and Nick Naseman are participating in and encouraging the growth and development of free markets around the world. We believe that by helping investors realize their wealth potential and create peace of mind about investing, that they in turn can create massive positive change in the world.

Mark Matson talks about tax law, and the loopholes in the USA’s tax code, which includes 70,000 pages.

“The idea that a someone can adopt a 42-year-old, that is his girlfriend…is immoral, it’s disturbing, and all of these laws have unintended consequences,” says Mark Matson.

We are Investor Coaches that work with Mark Matson. Call our office for more information or to register. 719-434-3939. We are here for you!

Mark_Matson-Main-Street-MoneyIf you don’t know Mark Matson, CEO of Matson Money, a Cincinnati-based investment advisory firm with some $3 billion in AUM, it’s not his fault. In addition to his financial advisory business, he’s a regular on the Fox Business channel and CNBC. Matson has a website devoted to his screen time (www.markmatson.tv) where you can find each of his appearances catalogued, as well as a link to his weekly Livestream.com internet show (boasting “over a million minutes viewed”), his podcasts, a handful of home movies looking at investor psychology, and even a 16-minute visual homage to his wedding.

Yet he’s about to kick the Mark Matson marketing machine into higher gear: He’s just published a book, Main Street Money: How to Outwit, Outsmart & Out Invest the Wall Street Bullies, as a companion to a self-funded $500,000 television show that will air on PBS in March – think Ed Slott’s “Stay Rich for Life” or Suze Orman’s Women & Money lectures that have graced the station during previous pledge drives. Matson’s theme: Main street investors are getting ploughed under by sophisticated Wall Street types, boorish pundits and peddlers of sleazy investments, and need to learn how to fight back.

Registered Rep: Is there a lesson here for financial advisors about marketing themselves? What do you hope to get out of the PBS special and book?

Mark Matson: When people see $500,000, that kind of investment is something that gets them to think ‘how many clients are you going to get out of it?’ I really don’t think of it in those terms. There is a high degree of uncertainty as far as how many people this will reach. If you look at the statistics, there are about 150 million homes that have television. Reaching a million households is definitely do-able. Most of all, though, this show and the book are about helping investors stop spending, and speculating, with their money.

RR: Might this be perceived as advertising?

MM: It is not an infomercial. If it was advertising, we would be paying for the time on television. It has to meet the quality and standards of PBS. Many of their shows are privately-funded by artists. PBS doesn’t pay for this programming. I could have invested $500,000 and PBS could have sat back and said, it doesn’t meet our standards, you need to go home. It is not pay to play.

RR: That’s a provocative subtitle for your book. Who exactly are these Wall Street bullies?

MM: There are three kinds of bullies: The first are outright conmen, the Madoff-types who eventually end up in orange jump suits. The second are the prognosticators, the people who tell you what is going to happen with GDP, the economy, the market; they predict which sectors are going to be good, when the market is going to crash. The third are the gurus who tell you they know what stocks you should buy; how you can add alpha to your portfolio by stock picking, adding return without risk. All the traders are bullies by nature and all mutual fund complexes that have active managers are bullies. The more experience you have had, chances are you’ve of been burned by these bullies.

The reality is that the market is random. All the knowable and predictable information is in the price already, so when you trust these people you end up losing more money than you could ever have anticipated.

RR: Your assessment of the wealth management model, are you saying it’s broken?

MM: Yes. I remembered the movie “Wall Steet.” Gordon Gekko talked about greed being good. I know now that the greed we have on Wall Street is never good. It leads to destructive things — like trading too frequently. The challenge is for investors not to get seduced into the gambling aspects of Wall Street – the latest hot sector, tech or gold. You don’t invest one million dollars in one bank, and you don’t buy five or ten stocks like Jim Cramer. I have coached over 1,000 advisors over the last 20 years on how to improve their business model. Adivsors as a whole don’t have any more discipline than investors do. In fact, when I have seen large amounts of money panic and do the wrong thing, it has usually been advisor-driven and not investor-driven.

RR: You’re a proponent of free markets. Your take on the bank bailouts?

MM: I was against the bailouts. I tell you what, nobody came to my door with a bag of cash – and if they had I would have told them to go away. The bailouts were also an indication that the bullies had no idea what they are doing. Unfortunately, free markets are not orderly. They have chaos and destruction. That’s one of the reasons we have not come out of this pain of high unemployment, this sluggish economy. The bailouts didn’t not allow the market to clear itself.

Did you miss our last client meeting?  That’s okay!  We’re recording them now.  Here is our meeting in its entirety.  Enjoy.

And don’t forget to call out office to schedule your attendance at our next client meeting–Save the Investor, Save the World, on February 9, 2012.  It is a powerful message, made for powerful investing. Call our office for more information or to register. 719-434-3939. We are here for you!

Written by: Charles Stein
Source: Bloomberg News

Bruce Berkowitz, whose $8 billion Fairholme Fund is suffering its worst year on record because of wrong-way bets on financial firms, may have lost $203 million today on Sears Holdings Corp., the third-largest investment of his flagship fund.

Sears, the retailer controlled by hedge-fund manager Edward Lampert, fell 27 percent after saying it will close as many as 120 stores after reporting a deeper-than-expected sales decline during the holiday-shopping period. Berkowitz’s funds owned 16.3 million shares, or 15 percent of the company, as of Sept. 30, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

Berkowitz, named Morningstar’s domestic stock manager of the decade in 2010 for returning an average of 13 percent over that period, is trailing 99 percent of peers this year after betting that financial stocks would rebound with the economy. Sears, based in Hoffman Estates, Illinois, has declined 55 percent since the start of the year. “I just don’t see how we get hurt with Sears,” Berkowitz said in a May conference call with investors in his fund. “Maybe we make an awful lot of money, time will tell. So far I’ve been wrong.” Tom Pinto, a spokesman for Berkowitz, didn’t respond to a message seeking comment.

At the end of 2010, Berkowitz’s firm, Miami-based Fairholme Capital Management LLC, owned 14.9 million shares (SHLD) of the retailer. In the first quarter of 2011 he added 1.4 million shares. Sears sold for an average of $80.53 a share in the quarter, Bloomberg data show.

Declining Sales
 The company will record total noncash charges of as much as $2.4 billion in the fourth quarter related to a valuation allowance and goodwill impairment. The shares fell $12.47, or 27 percent, to $33.38 in New York, their steepest single-day drop since 2003.

Fairholme Fund (FAIRX) owned 14.5 million Sears shares as of Aug. 31. It purchased the shares at an average cost of $79.81 each, according to a May 31 filing, which means that fund had a paper loss of about $672 million on the investment as of today if the size of the holding hasn’t changed. The fund lost 31 percent this year through today, compared with a 30 percent decline in all of 2008, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Berkowitz, 53, started the fund in 1999.

Fairholme Fund had 76 percent of its stock holdings in financial shares as of Aug. 31, including New York-based American International Group Inc. (AIG) and Charlotte, North Carolina- based Bank of America Corp. (BAC), Morningstar data show. Financial shares have declined about 18
percent this year, making them the worst-performing group in the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index.

St. Joe

Berkowitz has also been hurt by his investment in St. Joe Co., a Watersound, Florida, real estate firm. Berkowitz was elected chairman of the company in March after he criticized the previous management’s spending and corporate governance.

Fairholme owned 29 percent of St. Joe as of Oct. 1, Bloomberg data show, making the firm the largest shareholder. St. Joe shares have fallen 30 percent in 2011.

Investors pulled money from Fairholme Fund for nine consecutive months through November with net redemptions totaling more than $7 billion over that stretch, Morningstar data show. Dan Teed, president of Wedgewood Investors Inc., dumped his holdings in Fairholme Fund several months ago. “They were concentrated in areas we were not comfortable with,” Teed said today in a telephone interview from Erie, Pennsylvania. His firm manages more than $100 million.

Sears is the sixth-worst performer in the S&P this year, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Bank of America, the fourth-worst performer, was Fairholme Fund’s fifth-largest holding as of Aug. 31. Lampert, who along with his hedge fund owns 60 percent of Sears, has presided over 18 consecutive quarters of declining sales.

In this video from Matson Money, Dan talks about his idea about brokers fees. Paul Winkler, on the Wolfpack, talks about how Paul Winkler taught him, by talking about investment research, that the future cannot be predicted. Research is no more than a summary of past behavior. The future cannot be predicted from how investments have behaved in the past.

Using Free Market Investment Theory, we do our part to Save the Investor and Save the World. For more information, or to reserve your spot to attend our next educational seminar in Colorado, contact our office at: 719-434-3939.

To Science Fiction fans, this may just sound like a cute statement, imitating “Save the Cheerleader, Save the World”, from the famous drama, Heroes.

But it is so much more than that. The world turns on a dime, literally. When people do well with their investments, they are happy. When people are happy, their families are happy. When families are happy, their communities are at peace. They do not war after other community’s land and resources.

When people have enough, they help others more easily. When you know your true purpose for money, any amount is enough, but not everyone is so enlightened. Here, listen to Mark Matson explain this theory.

Using Free Market Investment Theory, we do our part to Save the Investor and Save the World. For more information, or to reserve your spot to attend our next educational seminar in Colorado, contact our office at: 719-434-3939.

In our effort for continuing education, the folks at Prestige Wealth Management would like to present An Interview with Dr. Harry Markowitz, Father of Modern Portfolio Theory and Nobel Prize Winner for Economics in Three Parts. This is Part 2.

We base our investment theory on his ideas, with changes to suit the society we live in. We call it Free Market Portfolio Theory.

For more information, or to reserve your spot to attend our next educational seminar in Colorado, contact our office at: 719-434-3939.

The Number 1 question that must be answered, out of 20 questions that will give you peace of mind: “What is your true purpose for money?” No matter how much or how little money you have, if you know what your purpose in life is, what you need money for, then you will be happy, and isn’t that our goal–to be happy?

In this video, Mark Matson asks you to consider your true purpose for money.

To find your own purpose for money, attend our seminar in Colorado Springs on January 5, 2012. Call our office for more information or to register. 719-434-3939. We are here for you!

Disclaimer: Services offered by Prestige Wealth Management, Inc., a Colorado registered investment advisor that provides advisory services and is licensed to provide insurance products.

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